Cards With High Potential in Modern Right Now

05 Mar
by Corey Williams

Hello everyone! Happy Wednesday. Today we’re discussing a couple Magic market movers that are putting up some sizable jumps in the Modern market, and a couple smaller game pieces with relatively stagnant prices representing some uncapitalized potential. Let’s jump in!

Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines

The Mother of Machines herself was arguably the poster child of Phyrexia: All Will Be One. But in terms of overall viability across Magic formats, Elesh Norn has found herself mostly as a figure in Commander with little constructed play otherwise, in no small part due to the dearth of pieces that synergize with her enough in formats like Pioneer or Modern.

Enter: Ketramose, the New Dawn. As discussed in my previous article, Ketramose is really in-demand given its potency in Orzhov Blink shells, which were already well-positioned post-ban. Now with a new and improved advantage engine in Ketramose, finding ways to abuse and reuse blink effects are of interest as the deck solidifies itself (or fails to solidify itself, depending on which way the wind blows). 

Elesh Norn is one such card that’s seeing some experimentation in Orzhov Blink for obvious reasons: doubling your ETB triggers that bounce your own spells, while simultaneously shutting down your opponent’s ETB triggers. As an asymmetrical stax piece, Elesh Norn both compliments your deck’s strategy while shutting down advantages popular across the format. 

It’s worth noting that she’s not seeing play in every Blink shell, hence her relatively stagnant price. Her relatively high mana value is certainly the sticking point for most brewers of the deck. Having said that, the potential of Orzhov Blink and, by extension, Ketramose make her a worthwhile, and relatively low-risk speculation. 

Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines
Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines (Showcase)
Atris, Oracle of Half-Truths
Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines (Concept Praetor)
Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines (Borderless)

Scapeshift

Amulet Titan is back on the menu in the Modern meta, sporting pieces like Lotus Field, Aftermath Analyst, Spelunking, and everything in between. Making a return to form, however, is the classic, and arguably most important core piece in the original iteration of this deck: Scapeshift. 

Scapeshift serves a myriad of functions, but in its simplest use case, it basically reads: sacrifice a ton of lands, and if you have Dryad of the Ilysian Grove in play, go find Valakut, the Molten Pinnacle and a chunk of other lands that will all enter as Mountains and bolt your opponent to death. 

In the aftermath (pun intended) of RC Portland, renewed interest in Scapeshift is in full force, skyrocketing its market price to the highest it has been since 2018. With sellers demanding around $50, one might ask if its current price will hold. Likely not - Scapeshift solely sees play in Amulet Titan shells, which, while arguably one of the strongest decks in the Modern format, is also one of the most skill-intensive to pilot, rendering the market for this card to be smaller than its potency represents.

Admittedly, there is also a supply-side limitation to this card’s availability. Outside of Morningtide, this card was reprinted once in Core Set 2019 and as a Special Guests for Outlaws of Thunder Junction. If I had to make an educated guess, there’s a good chance this is a transitory (or temporary) spike in price purely in the aftermath of RC Portland, but as time passes, my guess is that demand will rubber band back to where it was prior to RC Portland. 

Unless you’re keen on jumping into Titan, there’s really no rush to purchase or spec on this particular single in the short run. If you want a copy or two, it’s best to wait a few weeks or so for demand to rebound to where it was prior to RC Portland.

Scapeshift
Scapeshift
Scapeshift (Borderless)

Seasoned Pyromancer

This used to be an all-star in Jund back in the halcyon days of the format (biased opinion, of course), but fell out of favor as Modern Horizons 1 was eclipsed in popularity and power level by The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth and Modern Horizons 2

Now that we live in a Modern Horizons 3 world, however, Seasoned Pyro is seeing some new life, particularly after the recent banned list. Jeskai Energy shells in particular are breathing new life into this former all-star. Unlike many formats, draw engines are few and far between in Modern, and Seasoned Pyro’s loot effect as it enters synergizes with what the deck already wants to do: set up Escape activations with Phlage, Titan of Fire's Fury

Seasoned Pyromancer also acting as a token generator synergizes with Ocelot Pride by getting you closer to getting the City’s Blessing from Pride’s Ascend ability. Turns out the banning of The One Ring didn’t actually spell the end for Energy decks as an archetype; rather, it opened up slots in the deck for some more synergistic pieces of value. While some players may have found The One Ring to act as a sort of crutch for Energy shells (or many decks in general), it turns out Energy is still a very solid archetype on its own. 

It’s certainly the most popular archetype in the format, which some may argue is problematic in its own right. Having said that, its play patterns are mostly fair, and the deck’s skill floor is low enough to make it accessible to most players in the format - new, old, or returning. There’s a good argument to be made that Energy is just the new Jund: a widely played, consistent deck that can hold its own squarely against most other decks in the meta. 

All of this more than explains the jump in price for Seasoned Pyro, although this price spike seems to be trending downward reflecting some price stabilization. My guess is that this single will level out between $11 or $12. 

Seasoned Pyromancer
Seasoned Pyromancer (Foil Etched)
Seasoned Pyromancer (Borderless)

Sowing Mycospawn

The last card on our list today is also somewhat of a sleeper: good ol’ Sowing Mycospawn. Consistent with most Eldrazi, the most important function of Mycospawn is to, on cast, search your library for any land and put it into play. Because it’s exceedingly difficult to interact with triggered abilities, particularly ones that trigger on cast or that utilize the Channel mechanic. 

Eldrazi Ramp (which is in many ways the new face of Eldrazi Tron) leans into Mycospawn as a land tutor. Casting a creature spell and snagging an Eldrazi Temple or Ugin's Labyrinth is pretty good in a format that doesn’t have access to Crop Rotation

The price has trended slightly upward in recent weeks, but is otherwise pretty stagnant and slow-moving. As a mainstay in Eldrazi Ramp and as a single picking up play in cEDH (turns out, an uncounterable way to put Gaea's Cradle into play is pretty good), I see Mycospawn as a relatively undercapitalized single with significant financial potential as the meta shapes out. 

Sowing Mycospawn
Sowing Mycospawn (Borderless)

Closing It Out

While Temur Breach remains the boogeyman of the Modern format, decks new and old are carving out wider positions in the meta (or working hard to maintain their meta share), and the cards we discussed today are some of the tools these decks are using to carve out such a spot in the format. 

Relatively speaking, I see Mycospawn is more undercapitalized than Elesh Norn, and I definitely see Scapeshift’s price as the most fragile by comparison to Seasoned Pyromancer. Scapeshift’s price reflects a small surge in popularity in a specific shell, but realistically, its supply is much smaller in quantity by comparison to Pyromancer. While I don’t think we’re due for a Scapeshift reprint anytime soon, all it takes is a preview of a new Scapeshift reprinting to bring its price back down to earth a little bit. 

In the meantime, sit back, relax, and we’ll wait and see what Universes Beyond: Final Fantasy and Tarkir: Dragonstorm have to offer!

Further Reading

Why Are First Place Foils So Expensive?

Corey Williams

Corey Williams

Corey Williams is an Assistant Professor of Economics at Shippensburg University in Shippensburg, Pennsylvania. He considers himself a macroeconometrician with his research body reflecting work in applied macroeconomics and econometrics. Corey is an L1 Judge who started playing Magic around Eighth Edition. He enjoys Modern, Commander, cEDH, and cube drafting. Outside of Magic, he loves running, teaching, and the occasional cult movie.


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