Cards Heating Up in Modern Right Now

19 Feb
by Corey Williams

With the recent release of Aetherdrift, and the new Bracket System making waves across the secondary market with presumed unbans coming in April for Commander, the recent Regional Championship seems to have slipped under the radar!

Today we’re talking about some spicy cards that showed up in fighting form at the SCG Con Portland Regional Championship, and some new spice from Aetherdrift almost guaranteed to make a splash in Modern!

Let’s dig in. 

Kozilek's Return

First on our list of sweet singles today is the classic Kozilek’s Return: an instant-speed, devoid mass removal spell. Eldrazi Ramp decks are mainboarding it at four copies to maximize its effectiveness in this new creature-dense meta that Modern is enjoying in its slow rebirth. Beyond its utility against the broader creature base, Eldrazi Ramp decks don’t run creatures that would typically die to the damage Kozilek’s Return would deal, making it almost entirely a one-sided removal spell from a practical standpoint. 

Prior to Eldrazi Ramp finding a home in the format after the most recent banned list update, Return was sitting comfortably at bulk status insofar as mythics can be considered bulk: $3.50. Today, however, it’s commanding between $7 and $10 a card, which now makes it the most expensive single by the market average from Oath of the Gatewatch (I don’t know if that speaks more towards its pickup in play prevalence or to the fact that Oath was just a generally weak set). 

The price increase coming solely from its pickup in play in one deck is startling, but consider the fact that it’s played as a four-of in the mainboard of the deck, and that it only has one printing outside its original in Oath: Commander: Modern Horizons 3. Its role in the new meta combined with its relatively low availability makes it one of the biggest price movers in the format.

Do I expect its price to keep climbing? Perhaps. The awkward timing of the recent Regional Championship coinciding with Aetherdrift’s release makes it somewhat unclear as to which decks will remain at the top and bottom of the meta. At the very least, there’s one Aetherdrift single that’s bound to shake up the meta at least a little bit - which we’ll discuss in a bit!

Kozilek's Return
Kozilek's Return

Collector Ouphe

Spoiler: Amulet Titan won Regional Championship Portland in a relatively commanding fashion. The relatively small, yet extremely talented community of Titan players, coupled with the top-end of the meta landscape (Temur Breach, Energy) being relatively immune to Blood Moon as a sideboard card, made for a shocking Top 8 with zero Blood Moons in any of the sideboards. While Blood Moon isn’t a silver bullet against Amulet Titan, it’s definitely the most potent answer to the deck’s play patterns.

With no Blood Moons running around, Amulet Titan could lean more heavily into its weapons against Temur Breach and other well-represented decks at the top of the meta. One particular sideboard option put in an extreme amount of work: Collector Ouphe.

This two-mana green creature almost single-handedly shuts down Temur Breach decks if it lands and sticks. Given that Breach was the deck to beat going into the RC, Ouphe became one the best options out of the sideboard to secure wins for games two, and potentially three, in Amulet Titan.

In a deck that runs four Green Sun's Zenith, accessing Ouphe from the deck itself is a trivial exercise. With so much potency against some of the best decks in the meta, it’s no wonder that it's almost doubled in value to $6 or so, with no sign of slowing down. Depending on how Aetherdrift impacts the meta, there’s a potential world where Ouphe continues to rise, especially with Green Sun’s Zenith to access it with ease.

Collector Ouphe
Collector Ouphe
Collector Ouphe (White Border)

Lumra, Bellow of the Woods

While this card wasn’t played in the RC-winning list, and isn’t moving mountains from a price standpoint by any means, it is one of the most fun, and interesting legends that has had an equal splash in both Modern and Commander - largely in the same way.

With Aftermath Analyst from Murders at Karlov Manor, Lumra adds another interesting dimension to the already rich layer cake of combos that Amulet Titan has access to. Add on top of this the trinkets like Echoing Deeps and Spelunking that The Lost Caverns of Ixalan gave Titan, and [card]Shifting Woodlands[/card] from MH3, and you have one really potent creature that can hit hard and give Amulet Titan another tool from which to assemble a win that doesn’t rely on Primeval Titan alone. 

Simply put, Lumra represents a synergistic value engine that doubles as a functional win condition under the right circumstances. Versatility like this in a deck that already ramps incredibly aggressively makes it a premium piece for speculation should Titan continue to put up results like it has been.

Outside of its place in Modern, Lumra is seeing some play in cEDH as a Commander - one that put up a terrific Top 4 appearance at SCG Con Columbus (snagging second place overall). The cross-format space that Lumra traverses and the ceiling for its overall utility being one tied to the quality of non-basic lands available in both formats make it a relatively safe card to spec on and perhaps pick up to best suit your needs. 

Lumra, Bellow of the Woods
Lumra, Bellow of the Woods (Borderless) (0293)
Lumra, Bellow of the Woods (Borderless) (0342)

Ketramose, the New Dawn

Arguably the most impactful single out of Aetherdrift, Ketramose just barely missed the window to see some play at RC Portland, but looks like it’s primed to make a massive impact on the format in Orzhov Blink shells. 

Given that Orzhov/Esper Blink decks love to exile cards from play to “blink” them, or from their graveyard with Psychic Frog, it’s not too difficult to set up as a lifelinker with menace that can easily close games out on its own.

On top of this, the amount of exiling one does with one's own permanents thanks to pieces like Phelia, Exuberant Shepherd synergizes exceedingly well with Ketramose’s second ability converting each individual blink or flicker into card draw. In Modern, for Orzhov to have access to a relatively inexpensive (from a mana standpoint) value engine that doubles as a game-ender is unheard of. 

The potency of this card in some shells or brews out of the gate have it sitting at a pricey $50 market price with no sign of slowing down. Will this price stick? Honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if it does. With The One Ring gone, draw engines are at a premium in the Modern format, and now Orzhov/Esper Blink has access to one of the most potent ones that synergizes perfectly with the main advantage engines in its deck. 

It’s not going out on a limb to imagine Blink decks skyrocketing to the top of the meta and usurping Temur Breach as the deck to beat. If the format pans out this way, I wouldn’t be shocked to see this card encroach the $80 or $90 territory much like The One Ring did, and Sheoldred, the Apocalypse before it. I rarely say this, but this is probably a card worth picking up sooner, rather than later. 

Ketramose, the New Dawn
Ketramose, the New Dawn (Borderless)
Ketramose, the New Dawn (First-Place Foil)

Final Comments

Overall, Modern seems to be finding its steady-state. The meta seems to be solidifying itself, and despite Energy still occupying a large percentage of the meta, the format certainly has much more breathing room, lending itself to a wider array of deck archetypes, play patterns, and matchup intricacy than it has seen in some time.

Keep your eye on Ketramose, and speculate safely!

Further Reading:

Card Prices to Watch in Aetherdrift

Corey Williams

Corey Williams

Corey Williams is an Assistant Professor of Economics at Shippensburg University in Shippensburg, Pennsylvania. He considers himself a macroeconometrician with his research body reflecting work in applied macroeconomics and econometrics. Corey is an L1 Judge who started playing Magic around Eighth Edition. He enjoys Modern, Commander, cEDH, and cube drafting. Outside of Magic, he loves running, teaching, and the occasional cult movie.


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