The Modern Meta of the Pro Tour

22 Oct
by Corey Williams

With Pro Tour: Edge of Eternities behind us, the Modern meta effectively solidified for the near-term. The Pro Tour breakdown is a mix of some old, some new, and some revived archetypes:

Letโ€™s dive into a few of these standout decks and what pieces make them tick!

Esper Goryoโ€™s

While this deck may not have taken home gold, it certainly was the most represented at fifty entries, while also boasting one of the highest win rates of all decks over the weekend. Oddly enough, only one deck of this variety finished in the Top 8. 

Within that particular deck lie some recent market movers, with Quantum Riddler being the most notable of the bunch straight out of Edge of Eternities, which hasnโ€™t seen a huge uptick in the wake of the Pro Tour, and remains surprisingly stagnant at around $30. This particular single seems undercapitalized on, especially given its synergies with Psychic Frog, which is also a notable standout in the list - so notable that this olโ€™ Frog is seeing the first upswing in quite sometime. Currently sitting at $7.50, and showing no signs of slowing, Psychic Frog may very well be the engine of this deck thatโ€™s finding a new opportunity to shine. 

Now, the biggest hit from this deck is, of course, its namesake: Goryo's Vengeance โ€“ a card that has fallen in and out of the Modern meta over the course of the formatโ€™s history. The issue with this card historically was a) finding access to it, b) having a discard outlet to cheat your high-impact creatures into play, and c) having high enough impact creatures to even consider running this spell. 

The solutions to all these problems really only arrived in the past five years: Finding access (card draw) was fixed with Psychic Frog; most recently Quantum Riddler, Psychic Frog, Faithful Mending, and Tainted Indulgence were relevant discard outlets that also double as card draw; and Atraxa, Grand Unifier became the other big payoff at the end of Goryoโ€™s Vengeance cast. 

For all these reasons, and its rise to prominence, Goryoโ€™s is spiking significantly right now with most listing prices jumping up to $40 after the Pro Tour. Is it really a $40 card? Probably not. Realistically, Iโ€™d expect it to settle somewhere between $20 to $25, which is still a sharp increase from the $10 to $15 it was sitting at previously. 

Keep an eye on this archetype! As discard outlets, card advantage engines, and payoffs continue to improve in this color combination, so too will the power of this shell. 

Quantum Riddler
Quantum Riddler (Borderless)
Psychic Frog
Psychic Frog (Borderless)
Goryo's Vengeance
Goryo's Vengeance

Tameshi Belcher

Tameshi, Reality Architect is such a cool card. Its design, and the loops it creates with cards like Lotus Bloom, are some of the most interesting play patterns the format has to offer โ€“ one thatโ€™s very reminiscent of Krark-Clan Eggs, which used Lotus Bloom as a mana engine, but with recursive spells like Faith's Reward, rather than recursive abilities nested in cards like Tameshi. 

How good is Tameshi in this meta? Good enough to win the Pro Tour. Michael DeBenedetto-Plumme took Tamishi Belcher to first overall at the end of the Pro Tour weekend. How does this deck work? Simple: play Goblin Charbelcher for four mana, and activate for three. Thatโ€™s it.

But thereโ€™s a catch! Charbelcher can only kill your opponent if you have zero lands in your deck. A problem with the archetype for years was that playing zero lands and still retaining some level of consistency was nearly impossible. But in a world with MDFC cards, itโ€™s easy to have a โ€œno landโ€ deck with MDFCs that function as your mana base. 

Effectively, this deck wants to play Tameshi with a Lotus Bloom in the bin that can be recurred repeatedly to make the seven requisite mana to search for and/or active Goblin Charbelcher, thereby flipping over your entire deck and killing your opponent.

The funny part of this deck is that most of the cards are fairly inexpensive. Tameshi, the MDFC lands, and so forth are all pretty cheap. Charbelcher on its own is pretty inexpensive, too, although it is on the rise after this weekend, and sitting at around $3 or so โ€“ an increase out of bulk status. The really heavy hitters in this deck are Sea Gate Restoration and Force of Negation. Sea Gate looks to be on a sharp rise after this weekend, hitting around $40 or so, while Force of Negation is still idling at $50 a pop. 

The irony of this deck is that its most important staples are actually the most affordable pieces, while its auxiliary pieces and interaction package tend to pack the most punch financially. Keep an eye on Sea Gate, and Charbelcher, too, as they both look primed to continue to rise, so long as this deck sticks around, which it most certainly will after comprising 46% of the Pro Tour meta after the weekend. 

Tameshi, Reality Architect
Tameshi, Reality Architect (Showcase)
Sea Gate Restoration
Goblin Charbelcher

Boros Energy 

While this shell didnโ€™t have any decks finish in the Top 8 of the Pro Tour, it was the third most-represented overall, which makes it worthy of discussion. Not a ton to talk about here aside from the usual standouts: Ocelot Pride, Ajani, Nacatl Pariah, Voice of Victory, Phlage, Titan of Fire's Fury, and so forth. 

One notable inclusion in the highest-placing Boros Energy deck was Goblin Bombardment, which has risen up to $5.00 in recent weeks due to its evolving use in Modern. Bombardment is also seeing a resurgence in cEDH in Dargo partner shells, so this price spike could be somewhat attributable to its cross-format use, but Iโ€™d argue itโ€™s primarily driven by Modern more so than cEDH. 

Also of note in the sideboard is Clarion Conqueror, Containment Priest, and Obsidian Charmaw, which is an exceedingly good tech piece against Eldrazi and Affinity archetypes. As these archetypes grow in popularity, I wouldnโ€™t be surprised to see Charmaw increase above bulk status, but not by much. 

Goblin Bombardment
Goblin Bombardment

Other Standouts & Closing Things Up

As discussed in my last article, Izzet Affinity continues to put up terrific results, in no small part due to Pinnacle Emissary, which has really reshaped the deck into something exceedingly powerful and explosive. Sitting at $2, Iโ€™d still argue that Emissary is relatively undervalued. Beyond Affinity, shells like Eldrazi continue to put up significantly good results, with Ugin, Eye of the Storms being the standout single from most deck lists, which also seems to be crawling ever so quietly up in price.

Overall, the Pro Tour boasted a relatively diverse field with some known quantities putting up numbers we shouldnโ€™t be too shocked by, although it looks like we are solidly past the days where Energy soaks up most of the meta share, which makes for more interesting financial and speculation opportunities. As metas diversify, so too does the utility of cards available to the format that can be of service to more than one dominant archetype. 

The key singles discussed today might be worth grabbing earlier than later, especially if pursuing one of these decks is of interest for you. 

The other beautiful thing about a diverse meta is that you as the player have much more control or choice as to how you wish to play the format, which is a benefit to all parties and participants in the Modern format. Demand spreading out beyond one or two decks also pushes the financial opportunities for staples from lower-performing, but still viable shells, which wasnโ€™t a possibility two months ago.

Pinnacle Emissary
Ugin, Eye of the Storms

Read More:

The Path of Small Magic Sets

Corey Williams

Corey Williams

Corey Williams is an Assistant Professor of Economics at Shippensburg University in Shippensburg, Pennsylvania. He considers himself a macroeconometrician with his research body reflecting work in applied macroeconomics and econometrics. Corey is an L1 Judge who started playing Magic around Eighth Edition. He enjoys Modern, Commander, cEDH, and cube drafting. Outside of Magic, he loves running, teaching, and the occasional cult movie.


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