Weekly Winners Special: 2018 top 100 losers

21 Dec
by Peter

Ah yes, the last week(s) of the year are upon us. Traditionally a time to cozy up with family around the Christmas tree, filling your belly with comfort food and wish everyone the best. And.. lists. At MTGStocks we love lists, we create new ones every day and this year we will share two extra special ones with you: the top 100 winners and top 100 losers of the year.

So instead of the regular Weekly Winners we will share and discuss the first of those two lists: the top 100 losers of 2018. Next week, Arjen has the top 100 winners for you.

Calculation method

The most important task in calculating these kinds of lists is the method you use to select, filter, include and exclude cards. Maybe you are missing some cards, or maybe you're surprised about the results. To avoid any confusion I will explain how we have calculated this list. It took us around five times to get it right. First of all, we excluded all the oldest sets with big prices and little trade. Alpha, Beta, Unlimited, the Dark were excluded from our list. The second important thing to note is that we used the prices of all cards in 2018 on the day of the release of the set. Prerelease prices are known to be inaccurate and some were even listed as $99.99 (or some other ridiculous) price at first. When we take the actual release date prices tend to be more accurate but still a tad high most of the time. You'll see that many of the top 100 losers are cards that were overhyped during the prerelease.

Also note that our 'jan 1st' column is either the price of the card on 01-01-2018, or the price of the card on the day of the release of the set, if that was a date later than 01-01-2018.

2018: Top 100 losers

Without further ado, here is the complete list. Enjoy!

 

NameSetNowJan 1st%
Blood Sun Rivals of Ixalan$0.75$7.99-90.6%
Glint-Sleeve Siphoner Aether Revolt$0.39$3.14-87.6%
Teshar, Ancestor's Apostle Dominaria$0.50$3.75-86.7%
Thran Temporal Gateway Dominaria$0.50$3.51-85.8%
Traxos, Scourge of Kroog Dominaria$0.50$3.49-85.7%
Heart of Kiran Aether Revolt$0.99$6.18-84.0%
Aethersphere Harvester Aether Revolt$0.50$3.00-83.3%
Regal Caracal Amonkhet$0.50$2.90-82.8%
Rampaging Ferocidon Ixalan$0.75$4.35-82.8%
Lich's Mastery Dominaria$0.49$2.68-81.7%
Silent-Blade Oni Commander 2018$0.60$3.10-80.6%
Threads of Disloyalty Signature Spellbook: Jace$0.59$3.00-80.3%
Swamp (103) Duels of the Planeswalkers$0.49$2.49-80.3%
Magus of the Balance Commander 2018$0.86$4.34-80.2%
Verdurous Gearhulk Kaladesh$0.99$4.89-79.8%
Dire Fleet Poisoner Rivals of Ixalan$0.86$4.20-79.5%
Fumigate Kaladesh$0.65$3.17-79.5%
Magus of the Wheel Commander 2015$2.33$11.33-79.4%
Firesong and Sunspeaker Buy-A-Box Promos$3.14$14.99-79.1%
Cursecatcher Shadowmoor$1.95$9.30-79.0%
Irrigated Farmland Amonkhet$0.84$3.99-78.9%
Angel of Invention Kaladesh$1.93$8.46-77.2%
Scapeshift Morningtide$12.89$54.55-76.4%
Weatherlight Dominaria$0.95$3.97-76.1%
Hazoret the Fervent Amonkhet$3.96$16.50-76.0%
Glorybringer Amonkhet$1.13$4.66-75.8%
Tajic, Legion's Edge Guilds of Ravnica$0.75$3.08-75.6%
Tezzeret, Artifice Master Core Set 2019$5.89$22.79-74.2%
Runic Armasaur Core Set 2019$0.71$2.74-74.1%
Geode Golem Commander 2018$0.95$3.65-74.0%
Fetid Heath Eventide$9.49$35.91-73.6%
Alpine Moon Core Set 2019$0.82$3.10-73.5%
Chromium, the Mutable Core Set 2019$2.39$8.99-73.4%
Path of Mettle Rivals of Ixalan$0.66$2.45-73.1%
Kumena, Tyrant of Orazca Rivals of Ixalan$6.23$22.99-72.9%
Mox Amber Dominaria$7.69$27.99-72.5%
Blue Elemental Blast Signature Spellbook: Jace$0.61$2.19-72.1%
Cabal Stronghold Dominaria$1.00$3.59-72.1%
Naru Meha, Master Wizard Dominaria$1.00$3.57-72.0%
Ikra Shidiqi, the Usurper Commander Anthology Volume II$1.12$3.95-71.6%
Damping Sphere Dominaria$1.24$4.29-71.1%
Graveyard Marshal Core Set 2019$0.86$2.85-69.8%
Mission Briefing Guilds of Ravnica$2.41$7.95-69.7%
Darigaaz Reincarnated Dominaria$0.89$2.92-69.5%
Demonlord Belzenlok Dominaria$1.00$3.28-69.5%
Vigor Lorwyn$4.98$16.24-69.3%
Heavenly Blademaster Commander 2018$0.95$3.00-68.3%
Liliana, Untouched by Death Core Set 2019$3.86$12.00-67.8%
Azor, the Lawbringer Rivals of Ixalan$1.85$5.75-67.8%
Death Baron Shards of Alara$6.99$21.72-67.8%
Crucible of Worlds 10th Edition$20.92$64.99-67.8%
The Mimeoplasm Commander Anthology Volume II$5.21$15.95-67.3%
Gilded Lotus Magic 2013 (M13)$4.32$13.21-67.3%
Crucible of Worlds Fifth Dawn$21.95$66.95-67.2%
Vorosh, the Hunter Commander Anthology Volume II$0.90$2.73-67.0%
Omniscience Magic 2013 (M13)$7.98$23.99-66.7%
Unmoored Ego Guilds of Ravnica$0.67$2.00-66.5%
Darien, King of Kjeldor Coldsnap$2.25$6.67-66.3%
Rugged Prairie Eventide$7.49$22.20-66.3%
Spire of Industry Aether Revolt$1.00$2.94-66.0%
Skysovereign, Consul Flagship Kaladesh$0.80$2.35-66.0%
Flamekin Village Commander Anthology Volume II$1.37$3.99-65.7%
Lazav, the Multifarious Guilds of Ravnica$2.11$6.14-65.6%
Animar, Soul of Elements Commander$9.99$28.99-65.5%
Chandra, Torch of Defiance Kaladesh$11.00$31.92-65.5%
Jhoira, Weatherlight Captain Dominaria$1.57$4.50-65.1%
Brainstorm Signature Spellbook: Jace$2.44$6.99-65.1%
Spell Snare Modern Masters$1.89$5.39-64.9%
Storm the Vault Rivals of Ixalan$0.87$2.48-64.9%
Dream Eater Guilds of Ravnica$2.81$7.95-64.7%
Palladia-Mors, the Ruiner Core Set 2019$1.05$2.97-64.6%
Mystic Confluence Commander 2015$3.55$10.00-64.5%
Thantis, the Warweaver Commander 2018$1.07$3.00-64.3%
Tuvasa the Sunlit Commander 2018$2.50$7.00-64.3%
Pact of Negation Modern Masters$10.95$30.49-64.1%
Mausoleum Secrets Guilds of Ravnica$0.72$2.00-64.0%
Cursecatcher Masters 25$1.28$3.55-63.9%
Nin, the Pain Artist Commander$1.72$4.75-63.8%
Twilight Mire Eventide$10.69$29.42-63.7%
Seedborn Muse 10th Edition$9.45$25.98-63.6%
Necropolis Regent Return to Ravnica$1.46$4.00-63.5%
Gyrus, Waker of Corpses Commander 2018$1.29$3.50-63.1%
Sewer Nemesis Commander Anthology Volume II$2.02$5.48-63.1%
Nullhide Ferox Guilds of Ravnica$3.50$9.48-63.1%
Botanical Sanctum Kaladesh$3.50$9.45-63.0%
Mnemonic Betrayal Guilds of Ravnica$0.99$2.65-62.6%
Promise of Bunrei Saviors of Kamigawa$1.51$4.04-62.6%
Teferi, Mage of Zhalfir Time Spiral$3.93$10.47-62.5%
The Scarab God Hour of Devastation$11.51$30.60-62.4%
Goblin Welder Commander Anthology Volume II$1.41$3.74-62.3%
Gilded Lotus Mirrodin$5.24$13.74-61.9%
Nirkana Revenant Rise of the Eldrazi$7.97$20.87-61.8%
Phyrexian Scriptures Dominaria$2.03$5.25-61.3%
Kestia, the Cultivator Commander 2018$1.79$4.62-61.3%
Sower of Temptation Battlebond$1.16$2.99-61.2%
Mikokoro, Center of the Sea Masters 25$2.02$5.18-61.0%
Master of the Wild Hunt Magic 2010 (M10)$4.54$11.56-60.7%
Nettle Sentinel Eventide$1.19$3.03-60.7%
Nicol Bolas From the Vault: Dragons$32.02$81.00-60.5%
Scion of the Ur-Dragon Time Spiral$1.99$5.03-60.4%

 

Top 3 losers

 

#1 Blood Sun; -90.6%
Blood Sun

 

When Rivals of Ixalan was spoiled, Blood Sun was coined as one of the hottest cards in the set, reminding everyone of that classic card Blood Moon. Check out this article on Manaleak.com as a good example. But, in the end Blood Sun did not see any competitive play in Modern. And only sees a little bit of play in Legacy.

 

#2 Glint-Sleeve Siphoner; -87.6%
Glint-Sleeve Siphoner

 

Glint-Sleeve Siphoner fell from grace this year as the set it was in rotated out of Standard. Before that, the card saw play in at least 15 different deck builds in standard. The energy-strategy was so good in standard that some other cards utilising energy had to be banned to restore balance to the meta.

 

#3 Teshar, Ancestor's Apostle; -86.7%
Teshar, Ancestor's Apostle

Teshar, Ancestor's Apostle was the most overhyped card from Dominaria. In the days leading up to the release, several brewers and youtubers created videos about the card, detailing an insane 6 piece combo that would win you the game. Take this as an example:

Well, that did not take off. The card plunged in value after release (but spiking before it!) and the card is nowhere to be found in an competitive Standard deck currently around.

 


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