Weekly Winners 2020 - 16
This week we see less influence from Ikoria spoilers and more from brewing and EDH. Also, the effects of the pandemic seem on the magic market don't seem big (yet).
Like every week, just in time for (digital) FNM, I'll now tell you about the cards that will be the talk of the (digital) town tonight!
Cephalid Constable $19.37 (+1645.05%)
Wow! A huge spike this week, as
As you probably know, EDH is the biggest constructed format in Magic. At least, if you believe Mark Rosewater on this. When a format is popular, so are articles, podcasts and vlogs about the format. And one of the big ones for EDH is the Command Zone. The videos they post have been known to have effects on card prices, especially when they talk about cards that do not see much play yet.
And that's also the reason that
That suggestion seems to have skyrocketed the price of
I do agree that the Command Zone video triggered the spike, I wonder if it is all because of popular demand. And I see three reasons for that.
Second, the video was posted last Monday, April 13th. The spike happened just yesterday. The graph does not show any movement, up until today and it spiked from $1.73 to $19.37 overnight. That's not what happens when a card gets organic demand. You'd expect that players see the video, buy
Third, on April 14th, all foils were bought out, the day after the video was posted. Only three days later the price for regular cards jumped. When there is a speculative buyout, speculators first buy the foils, since they are more scarce, easier to buy out and have a bigger return on investment. The regular printings follow after.
Considering these things, my view is that
Magus of the Moon $22.97 (+135.11%)
The big reason for this is the printing of
Play both cards in a deck that features land destruction and you've got yourself a game plan. While slowing down your opponent by cutting them off from useable mana sources, you can continue building. But even without destroying your opponents' lands, these decks are aggressive enough to race them. Check out a sample decklist below.
Creature (25) 2 Scavenging Ooze $0.25 3 Klothys, God of Destiny $2.39 4 Seasoned Pyromancer $9.00 4 Magus of the Moon $6.49 4 Bloodbraid Elf $0.25 4 Arbor Elf $0.40 4 Glorybringer $0.58 Instant (4) 4 Lightning Bolt $0.49 Sorcery (3) 3 Pillage $0.25 Enchantment (4) 4 Utopia Sprawl $0.58 Planeswalker (4) 2 Chandra, Torch of Defiance $1.74 2 Wrenn and Six $36.00 Land (20) 1 Verdant Catacombs $14.59 1 Mountain $0.10 4 Wooded Foothills $30.00 4 Windswept Heath $22.25 4 Stomping Ground $9.57 6 Forest $0.10 Sideboard (15) 1 Scavenging Ooze $0.25 2 Collector Ouphe $3.12 3 Obstinate Baloth $0.15 1 Boil $0.49 1 Pillage $0.25 2 Anger of the Gods $0.50 1 Cindervines $0.60 2 Choke $1.25 2 Relic of Progenitus $5.00
|Magus of the Moon||CardKingdom $14.99||TCGPlayer $22.97|
|Klothys, God of Destiny||CardKingdom $4.49||TCGPlayer $6.00|
Force of Will $105.28 (+5.29%)
Look who's back at $100+, good old
The article led to some discussion on Reddit, as I posted it there. Not everyone agreed with me, and some people were absolutely sure that the market would crash. It made me think: am I too optimistic about it?
A month later and I'm still not able to answer that question. Seeing the record numbers of unemployment in the United States, I do start to worry about people's ability to pay their bills. Magic cards might turn into an expensive luxury for people quickly. (I hope that it does not happen for you!) The situation might prompt people selling their cards to make rent, causing card prices to fall.
On the other hand, we don't see that happening. LGSs see less volume in trade and therefore less cash flow, but up until today, not much has happened yet in the world of MTG Finance. Up until now, my prediction in the article still stands. But will that last? I'm not as sure as I was last month.
It also brings me to
But as likely as a candidate it is,
All we can really do is stay at home and watch what happens. Maybe things will change as stay-at-home orders continue into May and even June. Especially concerning the money LGSs and tournament organizers lose.
Please note: for our 'record low' we consider the price of the card over the past 7 years. Many cards have been even cheaper (a) decade(s) ago. Also note: some cards are still going down, and might be even cheaper pickups next week.
Leyline of the Void $9.59 - Record low and going up
Thran Dynamo $5.43 - Record low and going down
Ancestral Vision $5.18 - Record low and going down
|Thran Dynamo||CardKingdom $5.99||TCGPlayer $5.43|
|Ancestral Vision||CardKingdom $2.99||TCGPlayer $5.18|
|Leyline of the Void||CardKingdom $7.49||TCGPlayer $9.59|